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Electoral-vote.com summarizes the points of political consultant Charlie Cook who says all metrics (measures) point to an Obama victory. I haven't spoken with anyone, Republican or Democrat, who thinks the outcome will be different.
- No candidate this far back two weeks out has ever won.
- Obama is safe in all the Kerry states and ahead in half a dozen states Bush won.
- Early voting is going strong and even if something big happens, those votes are already cast.
- The Democrats have a 10% advantage in party registration; in 2004 it was even.
- Obama is outspending McCain 4 to 1 in many states.
- There is no evidence for the so-called Bradley effect in the past 15 years.
--Mb
